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Robotics in China has huge room for development 2016 holdings will reach 160,000 units
2016-04-16

Chinese robotics companies basically have a certain degree of international competitiveness, but the core components of their products still depend on foreign countries, and the amount of industrial robots applied in China is also far below that of developed countries.

In 2013, China added 37,000 robots, leaping to become the country with the largest number of industrial robots added in the world that year. in 2014, the number has risen to about 67,800 units, of which more than 10,000 are domestically produced. This marked the country as the world's largest producer of industrial robots.

Data show that in 2000, China imported 380 robots, and by 2013, 37,000 robots were imported, an increase of two orders of magnitude in 13 years. Industrial robot parks in various places have grown to more than 40. The number of robot enterprises exceeded 4,000. From a global perspective, Xinsong ranks in the top three globally, second only to ABB and FANUC in the robotics industry. Chinese robotics enterprises basically have a certain international competitiveness. Global robotics industry research expert Luo Baihui pointed out that although China has the largest robot market, but China's independently produced products only account for a portion of total sales, the core components of these products also depend on foreign countries. Our industrial robot application volume is also far below that of developed countries.


 

Robots have grown to maturity. Robots are multifunctional automation equipment with a wide range of uses and have been used in manufacturing for decades. In the past, it was like a "delicate lady", with a high price tag and not much work to do. With technological advances, the performance of robots has improved significantly, and they are more and more often seen in high-precision fields and dangerous environments. Adapting to the general trend of intelligence and transformation to the Internet, robots, as the next world-changing technology integration, will set off a new industrial revolution and become the protagonist of manufacturing transformation and upgrading. Those industries or countries that occupy a technological advantage will see their costs drop significantly and their competitiveness jump to a new level. "By 2025, the global robotics can form a large market of several trillion dollars." Luo Baihui said that the subsequent favorable policies (Made in China 2025, robotics 13th Five-Year Plan, etc.) are expected to continue to be introduced, and the "Internet manufacturing" pushes up the industry boom. The robot automation is the most important tool to realize China's version of Industry 4.0, and will usher in huge development opportunities in the later stage. robot concept stocks in the A-share robot, new time, Huichuan technology, etc., the later stage is worth focusing on.

Thanks to the technological innovation in recent years, the performance of robots has been greatly improved, and they have become more handy, and the price is more civilian. The new generation of robots can achieve automatic control, with cameras to guide the robot arm, in the degree of intelligence and refinement level have been a welcome change.

The advantages of robots compared with manual labor are clear at a glance.

First, robots are highly efficient and can effectively reduce production costs. Robots can reduce labor overhead by 33% in Korea, 25% in Japan, and 22% in the U.S., which will change the long-standing practice of relocating factories around the world to obtain cheap labor.

Second, it will enable refined skills and standardized operations that are difficult to achieve by hand, improve manufacturing and assembly accuracy, and produce high value-added products. When products need to be updated, reprogramming robots is much faster and more efficient than training people, and robots are urgently needed for the production of rapidly changing products, such as smartphones.

Third, they can do dangerous and hazardous work that is beyond the reach of ordinary people.

The shortcoming of robots is that they are machines, not people. In the field of personalized and affectionate services, it is difficult for robots to change their machine nature even if they are more advanced.

The use of robots is mainly limited to factories, where the environment is precisely controlled, reducing the risk of human contact and the need for robots to perceive the world around them. Robotics applications are self-contained and require a change in traditional concepts and management styles and a considerable level of engineering skills. The use of robots varies by geography and industry, depending on many factors, including salary costs and labor regulatory requirements.

Today, about 85% of the work in manufacturing, where products such as automobiles and electrical and electronics have been automated, can be performed by robots. Industries such as chemicals and metals will also increasingly use the most innovative and flexible robots. With only 10% of automatable jobs currently automated, there is plenty of room for growth. According to analytical data from global robotics industry researcher Luo Baihui, industrial robots were sold in 2014 at 250,000 units, an annual growth of nearly 30%.

Robot manufacturing itself is a large industry, and the development direction will reflect "three more".

First, higher IQ. Assuming that the human brain is a computer, it can execute 38 gigabytes of commands per second, while the world's most powerful computer Deep Blue can only execute 0.02% of this figure. The level of intelligence of the robot needs to be improved, the fuzzy processing ability should also have a qualitative leap, with a certain "emotional intelligence", more understanding.

Second, better sensitivity. "The human hand has amazing precision, with more than 10,000 "sensors" inside, which is beyond the robot's reach. The future direction is to simulate the biological nervous system, continue to improve the robot sensor and grasping system, so that the robot more dexterous.

Third, it is cheaper. The price of industrial robots is now down to about $130,000. The cost structure is roughly 22% for the body, 25% for the servo system, 38% for the reducer, 10% for the control system, and 5% for the others. In the future, reducing the cost of reducers and servo systems is the key.

There is huge room for future development of robots in China. China's manufacturing industry is facing new challenges of shifting to the high end and participating in the international division of labor, and with the demographic dividend decreasing year by year and productivity costs rising, it is an inevitable trend to use robots extensively in high-precision fields and dangerous jobs. Luo Baihui predicts that by 2016, China's robot ownership will exceed 160,000 units, making it the world's largest market. At present, 70% of the robots in China are produced by foreign manufacturers, and the reducers and servo motors are basically imported, with high prices, and there is huge space for robot innovation and application.

In Luo Baihui's view, robots have incomparable strengths in the highly sophisticated fields of refinement and standardization. In the era of rising global labor costs, robots will definitely make their presence felt in many industries. Of course, no matter how superior a robot is, it is ultimately a machine made by human beings, and the right attitude is to build on its strengths and avoid its weaknesses for the benefit of human beings.